Apple Stock Analysis: Using Fundamentals and Bazi

This is an in depth analysis on Apple stock both using Fundamental and Bazi analysis.

Apple remains a cash-generative, platform-centric technology leader with a resilient earnings mix. In fiscal Q4 2025 Apple posted revenue of $102.5 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $1.85, driven by a strong iPhone cycle and record Services revenue. That result reinforced Apple’s recurring-revenue story — Services (App Store, iCloud, AppleCare, subscriptions) now meaningfully cushions hardware cyclicality and boosts gross margins.

Growth drivers

• iPhone upgrade cycle and ASP lift. New model demand — especially adoption of iPhone 17 family — has driven unit growth and higher average selling prices in several regions (notably China and emerging markets), supporting top-line expansion. Market trackers show iPhone shipment gains and share improvement versus peers in 2025.

• Services and ecosystem monetization. Services hit all-time highs and are central to margin expansion; they’re stickier than hardware and increase lifetime value of each device buyer. Continued growth here supports stable FCF and buybacks/dividend support.

• AI & silicon roadmap. Apple’s vertically integrated silicon (M-series, A-series) gives it cost and performance advantages for device AI features. Analyst commentary positions Apple as a lower-risk way to play AI given its in-house chips and vast installed base — a long-term strategic plus if Apple successfully monetizes AI in services and device differentiation.

  Valuation & analyst view

  Consensus 12-month price targets cluster in the mid-$200s to high-$200s (median/average varies across providers). Analysts are split: some see limited near-term upside given macro/valuation, while others point to an AI + services re-rating as a catalyst. Recent targets imply modest upside from current levels, so execution on services and new features matters for outperformance.

  Key risks

  • Hardware cyclicality & competitive pricing — smartphone cycles remain lumpy; a disappointing handset cycle would pressure revenue.
  • Geopolitical/supply-chain & tariff exposure — tariffs or component constraints can compress margins (Apple already flagged tariff impacts in recent commentary).
  • Execution on AI features/monetization — delays or weaker-than-expected AI differentiation could keep multiples capped.

Apple Stock Analysis using Bazi

Lets now do a deep dive on Apple using the ancient Chinese Astrology way of Bazi. For this analysis we use the date that Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) was first listed in the US which is 17 May 1985. The bazi chart of Apple truly reflect its share price performance since its listing 40 years ago. Firstly, there is a Bing Xin combo in the chart. This means that Apple is able to gain attraction and magnetize people to buy their products. Hence, Apple products was able to have millions of loyal fans. The Bing Xing combo also means that Apple is able to shine light on people lives. Indeed, Apple with its iPhone has transformed people lives and enhance people productivity. Apple also has the Snake and Ox combo which indicate its products is able to attract a lot fans and ensure its stickiness. Its first 3 luck pillars is on the side of Apple too. For example, in its second luck pillar, Apple was undergoing its Hurting Officer luck pillar. Hurting Officer in Chinese Astrology means innovation, able to come out with something that is different from others. Indeed, the launch of its first iPhone revolutionize the mobile phone market. Each luck pillar indicate 10 years and hence from 1985, the year it was listed till the end of its third luck pillar which is 2019, shareholders of Apple will have a total return of 88,462.5% or an average CAGR of 24% per year! (source: ChatGPT) For more Bazi analysis on the companies you have bought, sign up a trading account with me and get to receive FREE Bazi analysis on companies. You can connect with me via telegram here